Here’s the question for you: Does Urijah Faber stand a chance against champ Dominick Cruz when they clash yet again in the UFC 199 co-main event?

The facts are thus:

  • This is the third time these two will clash. Faber won the first time via guillotine choke, while Cruz won the last one via a pretty clear-cut decision. But Faber’s victory was in 2007, and Cruz’s was in 2011, and Faber hasn’t gotten better with the passage of time.
  • Cruz came back from a lengthy injury-induced hiatus to snatch the belt from TJ Dillashaw. What has Faber done lately but beat second-tier fighters and lose to top-tier dudes?
  • Why are they fighting again? Not because Faber really earned it through winning key fights. No, they’re fighting because they have a modicum of heat and ill-will toward each other.

On yesterday’s media conference call, the champ summed it up succinctly.

“It doesn’t really matter about how many fights I’ve had because I had good fights and I fought the best guys in the division every time I fought,” Cruz said. “I know what I am, I know what I’m capable of. I know how I mix things up, I know the things I’m good at and I know I’m better than him. It doesn’t matter how many fights he’s had because the ones that could have gotten him a title, he lost.”

Verdict: Faber’s going to lose at UFC 199, and it ain’t gonna be pretty.