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Fight Prediction: Jake Ellenberger vs. Martin Kampmann

Jake “The Juggernaut” Ellenberger (27-5-0) vs. Martin “Hitman” Kampmann (19-5-0)

In a battle with possible title shot implications in the welterweight division, we have a red hot prospect, Jake Ellenberger, taking on the seasoned UFC veteran, Martin Kampmann.

Much like the recently retired Kenny Florian, Kampmann always seems to fall short when it really matters. He lost his chance to fight for the 185 pound title with a loss to Nate Marquardt. He lost a number one contenders shot with a TKO loss to Paul Daley – then suffered a controversial decision loss to Jake Shields, and Diego Sanchez. He has a chance once again to assert his dominance in the division with a win over Ellenberger, but the question remains if he can pull the win when a title shot is on the line. Jake has predicted that he will finish Kampmann with punches by the third round, but that is hard to believe. Even though Martin has three TKO losses, he has never been put to sleep, and with Jake’s cardio issues, he better hope he does not punch himself out.

Jake came into the UFC and lost his first fight to Carlos Condit, who Kampmann beat, but he won fans in that fight, showing his heavy hands and heart by fighting until the end. He since has pulled off six straight wins with four stoppages, with Jake Shields included in those stoppages. If he wins this fight and fights again before a title shot, he will tie Jon Fitch’s eight straight wins before a title shot. It is unknown if Jake will try to take this fight to the ground since Martin has vowed to submit him if the fight hits the ground.

The Bottom Line: Looks for Jake to continue his streak here as his power, and top control will prove to be too much. I’d say  look for the early stoppage in the first round.

Note: Ellenberger has already clarified that he will not be satisfied waiting around for a title shot, even if he is guaranteed one with a win over Kampmann. With St-Pierre looking at a Nov. bout as his earliest return to unify the belts with Condit, Ellenberger will definitely not be fighting for the title this year.

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